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NOAA and its partners have released the latest Regional Climate Impacts and Outlooks, which recap spring conditions and provide insight into what might be expected this summer.
The meteorological spring (March–May) average temperature for the contiguous U.S. was 53.7°F, 2.8°F above average, tying with 2016 as the sixth-warmest spring on record. Temperatures were above average from the Great Plains to the East Coast.
Arkansas, Kentucky, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia each ranked second warmest on record for this spring season.
The Alaska spring temperature was 26.8°F, 2.8°F above the long-term average, ranking in the warmest third of the record for the state. Temperatures were above average across much of the state, while parts of the Panhandle and Aleutians saw near-average spring temperatures.
The contiguous U.S. spring precipitation total was 9.25 inches, 1.32 inch above average, ranking in the wettest third of the March–May record. Precipitation was above average from the Midwest to the Northeast, and in parts of the Gulf Coast and Southeast. Rhode Island ranked third wettest while Iowa and Wisconsin each ranked fourth wettest on record for the spring season.
For spring season precipitation, Alaska ranked in the middle third of the record with near- to wetter-than-average conditions observed across most of the state. Precipitation was below average in parts of the Cook Inlet, the South Panhandle and the Aleutians.
The June–September 2024 Temperature Outlook favors above average temperatures for much of the contiguous U.S. (CONUS), with higher probabilities reaching 70 to 80% over parts of the Four Corners region where there was strong model agreement, the decadal temperature trend is above average, and there are favored odds of below average precipitation. Above average temperature probabilities are also enhanced along the extreme Gulf Coast, reaching 60 to 70%, owing to strongly positive sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the Gulf of Mexico and around Florida.
The NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) and other climate models favor near-average temperatures for the Hawaiian Islands through July 2024.
The June–September 2024 Precipitation Outlook favors below average precipitation over parts of the western and central CONUS. Equal Chances (EC) is indicated over the southern West Coast and parts of western Nevada, as these regions are climatologically drier, and over the Pacific Northwest where model forecasts are weak and inconsistent. 50 to 60% chances of below average precipitation are favored over eastern Arizona, western New Mexico, and parts of the Four Corners region.
According to most dynamical model forecasts and the remnants of El Niño over the tropical Pacific, precipitation is expected to be below average for the Hawaiian islands.
Get more details for your region in the June 2024 climate impacts and outlooks summaries:
NOAA’s Regional Climate Services lead the production of these quarterly summaries of climate impacts and outlooks for various regions of the United States as well as parts of Canada along the border. This effort, which began in 2012, includes 13 unique regional products that are produced collaboratively with partner organizations.
You can access all of the Climate Impacts and Outlooks summaries as well as additional reports and assessments through the U.S. Drought Portal Reports web page at Drought.gov.
June 28, 2024
June 13, 2024
June 10, 2024